ResolvedEnds Jan 30, 2026, 06:51 AM (UTC)

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran?

Probability Trend

Last 7 Days

Market Options

2026 Q1

Avg Probability

9.5%

2026 Q2

Avg Probability

7.5%

2026 Q3

Avg Probability

6.0%

2026 Q4

Avg Probability

5.2%

Later than 2026

Avg Probability

71.8%